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DEA will not initiate any rescheduling review for psilocybin or ibogaine this quarter despite state ibogaine-veteran momentum.

Predicted 2026-08-11 · Resolves 2026-11-11 · policy · USA
72%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
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The DEA (the US agency that controls which drugs are legal and at what level) is very unlikely to start any formal process to reclassify psilocybin (magic mushrooms) or ibogaine (a plant-based psychedelic) before November 11, 2026. Even though several US states have been pushing to make ibogaine available to veterans, that state-level pressure alone isn't enough to force the federal government's hand. Federal review only gets triggered after large-scale clinical trials finish and the health department formally recommends a change.

Resolution rule: YES if, by 2026-11-11, no DEA notice of proposed rulemaking, scheduling review announcement, or Federal Register entry initiating rescheduling of psilocybin or ibogaine appears. Check federalregister.gov and dea.gov diversion/scheduling pages on 2026-11-11.

State pressure doesn't trigger federal review absent completed pivotal trials and an HHS recommendation. This is anchored to a live, specific development (state ibogaine-veteran momentum) rather than pure evergreen boilerplate.

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