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Answers: Will psilocybin be FDA-approved? · Will MDMA be approved? · When will psychedelics be legal?

The Psychedelic Approval Odds Sheet

The Oracle's current odds on the 12 nearest-resolving open questions in psychedelic medicine — regenerated daily from live signals. Print it, share it, check back when they resolve.
QuestionOdds
MDMA approval decision will slip to mid-2027 at earliest; 2026 approval unlikely.
regulation · resolves 2026-08-24
77%
DEA and FDA will pressure ketamine clinics with enforcement actions before early 2027.
regulation · resolves 2026-08-24
76%
COMPASS stock stays flat until big trial results arrive
markets · resolves 2026-08-25
70%
COMPASS stock likely falls back and no psychedelic company mergers happen soon
markets · resolves 2026-08-25
63%
Small psychedelic stock's big price jump will likely fade fast
capital-markets · resolves 2026-08-26
64%
Brain study headlines will wildly overstate what the science actually shows
culture · resolves 2026-08-31
82%
Veteran suicide data will feature in three major congressional budget speeches, linking ibogaine access to military mental health
legislation · resolves 2026-08-31
81%
A private deal memo won't budge psychedelic stock prices in August
markets · resolves 2026-08-31
72%
Two key psychedelic stocks will likely stay flat through August
markets · resolves 2026-08-31
70%
A veteran testifies to Congress about their ibogaine treatment
culture · resolves 2026-08-31
68%
Major news outlet investigates deaths at unregulated psychedelic retreats by September 2026
media · resolves 2026-08-31
62%
DEA will formally oppose letting military veterans access ibogaine
legislation · resolves 2026-09-01
76%
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Methodology: odds are the Oracle's calibrated confidence, produced by a multi-agent simulation over ~150 daily signals (PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov, Congress.gov, market data, press). Every question carries a falsifiable resolution rule and is scored publicly — see the track record.

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