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Answers: Will psilocybin be FDA-approved? · Will MDMA be approved? · When will psychedelics be legal?

The Psychedelic Approval Odds Sheet

The Oracle's current odds on the 12 nearest-resolving open questions in psychedelic medicine — regenerated daily from live signals. Print it, share it, check back when they resolve.
QuestionOdds
Scientists will publicly push back on 'mushrooms rewire the brain' headlines
research · resolves 2026-09-04
67%
MindMed reveals the real reason behind its mysterious stock surge
capital-markets · resolves 2026-09-05
60%
Experts will question a ketamine therapy pilot study's methods within weeks
research · resolves 2026-09-08
66%
COMPASS Pathways stock unlikely to spike or crash before September 10
markets · resolves 2026-09-10
70%
Scientists publish major new findings on exactly how psilocybin works in the brain
research · resolves 2026-09-11
74%
Brain science on psychedelics will outrun human clinical proof in 2026
research · resolves 2026-09-12
70%
The FDA will not approve MDMA as a PTSD treatment before September 2026
regulatory · resolves 2026-09-13
78%
A major veterans group will back psychedelic medicine access within 6 weeks
legislation · resolves 2026-09-13
63%
MindMed will make a major company announcement within six weeks
capital-markets · resolves 2026-09-14
64%
Congress won't hold a full floor vote on any psychedelic-focused bill before fall 2026
legislation · resolves 2026-09-15
80%
COMPASS Pathways stock price likely stays flat through mid-September 2026
markets · resolves 2026-09-15
74%
Major news outlet will question ibogaine's heart risks or political push
cultural · resolves 2026-09-15
70%
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Methodology: odds are the Oracle's calibrated confidence, produced by a multi-agent simulation over ~150 daily signals (PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov, Congress.gov, market data, press). Every question carries a falsifiable resolution rule and is scored publicly — see the track record.

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