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Answers: Will psilocybin be FDA-approved? · Will MDMA be approved? · When will psychedelics be legal?

DEA will NOT signal any change to psilocybin quota or research-supply expansion despite the AUD/MDD trial activity this quarter.

Predicted 2026-08-07 · Resolves 2026-11-07 · policy · USA
68%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

The DEA (Drug Enforcement Administration, the US agency that controls which drugs researchers can access) is very unlikely to announce any expansion of how much psilocybin researchers are allowed to use or produce before the end of 2026. Psilocybin is still a Schedule I drug — the most restricted category — and the DEA rarely acts on its own without enormous outside pressure. A recent high-profile death connected to psychedelic therapy has made the political environment even more cautious.

Schedule I posture holds; even research-supply expansions require pressure DEA won't volunteer amid a highly publicized death.

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