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Answers: Will psilocybin be FDA-approved? · Will MDMA be approved? · When will psychedelics be legal?

Federal psychedelic movement stays rider/state-based; no standalone bill reaches markup, while ≥2 states advance measures.

Predicted 2026-07-29 · Resolves 2026-10-28 · state-policy · USA
65%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

At least two US states will move meaningful psychedelic policy forward — think legalization, regulated therapy programs, or decriminalization — while the federal government does nothing through a standalone law. This is the classic pattern of states acting as testing grounds when Washington won't budge.

Consensus of 3 agents: legislator, veterans_advocate, fda_reviewer. 1 dissenting.

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