A veteran-organized coalition will publicly petition the VA or Congress for ibogaine access citing the fast-track within 8 weeks.

Predicted 2026-07-25 · Resolves 2026-09-19 · policy · USA

68%

ORACLE CONFIDENCE

⏳ Pending

Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

Veterans' advocacy organizations are expected to use the FDA (the US drug regulator) fast-track designation for ibogaine as a rallying moment to publicly demand access through the VA (the US Department of Veterans Affairs) or through new laws. A petition or open letter is a cheap, fast way for these groups to get attention and pressure lawmakers. This matters because organized veteran pressure has historically moved drug policy faster than almost anything else.

Resolution rule: YES if, by 2026-09-19, a named veteran-focused organization publicly issues a petition, open letter, or formal request to the VA or Congress specifically calling for ibogaine access and referencing the FDA fast-track. Sources: the organization's website/press release, VA.gov, congressional records, or coverage in a major outlet. Checked 2026-09-19. NO otherwise.

The fast-track headline is exactly the opening advocates mobilize around; a petition or public letter is the lowest-cost, highest-visibility action for veteran groups (e.g., VETS, Heroic Hearts). Near-term and falsifiable.

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