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Answers: Will psilocybin be FDA-approved? · Will MDMA be approved? · When will psychedelics be legal?

No FDA approval of any psychedelic therapy within 30 days.

Predicted 2026-07-21 · Resolves 2026-08-20 · regulation · USA
97%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

The FDA (the US drug regulator) won't approve any psychedelic-based treatment in the next 30 days. This matters because approval would be the green light for doctors to legally prescribe these treatments — and that moment is still a while away.

Resolution rule: YES if, as of 2026-08-20, the FDA has NOT issued an approval for any psychedelic-based therapeutic (psilocybin, MDMA, etc.). Check fda.gov Novel Drug Approvals / press announcements on 2026-08-20. Any approval press release resolves NO.

No psychedelic candidate has an active PDUFA target date within the next month, and FDA approvals are preceded by publicly tracked advisory committee meetings and acceptance announcements — none pending. Near-term approval is administratively implausible.

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