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Answers: Will psilocybin be FDA-approved? · Will MDMA be approved? · When will psychedelics be legal?

No FDA MDMA-PTSD approval before Q3 2027 without new confirmatory data addressing unblinding.

Predicted 2026-07-18 · Resolves 2026-10-18 · regulatory · USA
73%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

A group of reviewers — including someone simulating an FDA perspective, a brain-drug scientist, and an investor — largely agrees that MDMA won't get approved for PTSD treatment before mid-2027. The sticking point is a flaw in how the trials were run: patients could tell what they took, which muddies the results. One voice disagreed, but the majority view is: not yet.

Consensus of 3 agents: fda_reviewer, neuropharmacologist, investor. 1 dissenting.

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