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Compass Pathways (CMPS) shares remain below $20 at end of Q3 2026 absent a regulatory de-risking catalyst.

Predicted 2026-07-17 · Resolves 2026-09-30 · market · USA
72%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

Compass Pathways (ticker: CMPS) is a company developing psilocybin-based treatments. Its stock price tends to move based on excitement and news, not profits. Without a major win — like an FDA approval or a strong late-stage clinical trial result — there's no obvious reason the stock would break above $20 before the end of September 2026.

Resolution rule: YES if the closing price of Compass Pathways (NASDAQ: CMPS) on 2026-09-30 is below $20.00. Checked via the CMPS closing price on nasdaq.com or Yahoo Finance for that trading date. A close at or above $20.00 resolves NO.

Small-cap psychedelic equities trade on momentum, not fundamentals; without an FDA approval or Phase 3 readout materially de-risking the program, CMPS lacks a driver to rerate above the $20 threshold near-term.

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