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MDMA-PTSD will require a resubmission with new confirmatory data before any approval.

Predicted 2026-07-15 · Resolves 2027-06-30 · regulatory · Global
70%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
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The FDA (the US drug regulator) is likely to reject the current MDMA-assisted therapy application for PTSD (post-traumatic stress disorder) and ask for a brand new confirmatory study. The core problem is that trial participants could usually tell whether they got MDMA or a placebo, which makes the results unreliable. Even though veterans and others are suffering and dying, the regulator's job is to make sure treatments actually work before allowing them.

Functional unblinding is a genuine evidentiary flaw, not procedural. My duty is patient protection over urgency, however sympathetic the veteran suicide crisis.

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