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A US state or federal veteran ibogaine/psilocybin access or research program launches or expands within 12 months.

Predicted 2026-07-11 · Resolves 2027-07-11 · policy · USA

70%

ORACLE CONFIDENCE

⏳ Pending

Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

Within the next 12 months, at least one US state or the federal government will officially start or expand a program giving veterans access to ibogaine or psilocybin for conditions like PTSD or depression. Veterans' groups have built unusually strong bipartisan support for this — both Republicans and Democrats back it — and Texas has already funded ibogaine research. This would be a real, concrete policy win, not just a proposal.

Resolution rule: YES if, by 2027-07-11, a US state or federal government enacts legislation or a named agency (e.g., VA, a state health authority) publicly announces the launch or funded expansion of a veteran-focused ibogaine or psilocybin access/research program. Checked via the enacting body's official site (state legislature bill tracker, congress.gov, or va.gov press releases). NO if no such enacted/announced program is documented.

Veteran framing carries concrete bipartisan legislative momentum (e.g., state ibogaine research funding in Texas, VA-linked psychedelic research authorizations). This is the fastest-moving policy front and is trackable via enacted legislation or agency announcements.

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