By the end of 2026, psilocybin will still sit in Schedule I — the federal government's most restricted drug category, alongside heroin — with no approved medical use. This matters because Schedule I status blocks insurance coverage, limits research, and means anyone using psilocybin therapeutically is still doing so outside federal law. The political and bureaucratic stars simply aren't aligned for change this year.
Rescheduling requires DEA evidence thresholds and Congressional/political will neither of which is present. Access programs remain the compromise. This merges the three near-duplicate rescheduling predictions into a single clean, falsifiable version.