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No federal psychedelic rescheduling legislation is enacted into law by Congress in 2026.

Predicted 2026-07-05 · Resolves 2026-12-31 · legislation · USA
85%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

Congress, the body that writes and passes US federal laws, will not vote a bill into law that moves psilocybin or MDMA out of Schedule I — the strictest legal category, reserved for substances the government considers highly dangerous and medically useless. Right now, both substances sit in that category alongside heroin. Changing that through Congress requires enough votes and enough scientific proof, and neither exists yet.

Resolution rule: YES if no bill that reschedules psilocybin or MDMA out of Schedule I is signed into law (status 'Became Law') during calendar year 2026. NO if any such bill becomes law. Source: congress.gov (search enacted legislation referencing psilocybin/MDMA scheduling). Check date: 2026-12-31.

The votes and FDA evidentiary basis are absent; Congress favors lower-risk research bills over scheduling changes. Distinct from the DEA-administrative prediction because it tracks statutory enactment specifically.

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