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No standalone federal psychedelic rescheduling or legalization bill passes a floor vote in either chamber of Congress in calendar year 2026

Predicted 2026-06-10 · Resolves 2026-12-31 · legislation · USA
86%
ORACLE CONFIDENCE
⏳ Pending
Every outcome is scored publicly in the ledger.

No bill whose main goal is changing the legal status of psychedelics will get a formal vote on the floor of the US House or Senate in 2026. Congress has a packed schedule of budget fights and election-year politics, and historically any psychedelic policy wins have been slipped into bigger bills — not pushed as standalone laws.

The 2026 floor calendar is dominated by appropriations fights and election-year messaging bills, leaving no realistic window for controversial standalone drug-policy legislation. Historical precedent supports this: psychedelic policy has moved exclusively through NDAA amendments and appropriations riders since 2023. Resolution criteria: resolves NO if any bill whose primary purpose is psychedelic rescheduling or legalization passes a recorded floor vote in the House or Senate by 2026-12-31; riders and amendments to must-pass vehicles do not count against this prediction.

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