No other U.S. state will pass a law creating a legal framework for people to access psilocybin therapy (not just decriminalization, but an actual licensed system) before January 2028. This matters because it determines whether your state offers any legal route to the treatment. Oregon and Colorado are moving slowly and hitting real problems setting up their systems, which is cooling other states' enthusiasm. Most states are in a 'let's wait and see how this goes' mode rather than drafting their own laws.
Oregon's Measure 109 implementation has been slower and more contentious than proponents projected, dampening enthusiasm in other state legislatures. Colorado's Prop 122 framework is still standing up infrastructure. Most states watching these rollouts are in 'wait and see' mode. Ballot initiative paths require significant funding and organizing lead time — no well-funded 2026 or 2027 initiative campaign is currently publicly confirmed in a third state for therapeutic (not merely decrim) access. Falsifiable: governor signature on a therapeutic access law in a state other than OR or CO. Confidence reflects genuine uncertainty about California or New York surprise moves.