When researchers publish a surprising finding about psilocybin and cocaine addiction, mainstream news outlets will oversimplify or misrepresent the actual results within three days. When scientists try to publicly correct these errors, journalists will frame the whole situation as evidence that psychedelic science hypes itself up—turning the correction effort into another credibility problem instead of fixing the original one.
The extinction-without-relapse-prevention finding is technically nuanced and counterintuitive enough that deadline-pressured journalists will omit critical caveats. Multi-agent consensus (journalist, neuropharmacologist, fda_reviewer) supports this. The correction campaign becoming a credibility story is a well-documented pattern in psychedelic coverage. Confidence reflects that 'three major outlets' and 'researcher-led correction campaign becoming a credibility story' are both required — either alone is more likely than both together. Resolve date set to 72 hours post-today given the prediction's internal framing.